Arc-Native Institutional Forecasting

Institutional Markets

Trade forecasts on macro data, rates, inflation, geopolitical risk and institutional events using USDC on Arc.

An Arc-native market intelligence layer for trading real-world forecasts.

7Market Categories
USDCSettlement
ArcNetwork
<1sFinality

Beyond Simple Prediction Markets

CirBet is evolving beyond simple prediction markets. Built on Arc and powered by USDC, CirBet enables transparent forecasting markets for inflation, interest rates, macroeconomic data, geopolitical risk, corporate events and real-world institutional outcomes.

"CirBet turns real-world uncertainty into transparent USDC markets on Arc."

Market Categories

Institutional Forecast Markets

Select a category to view example markets, market intelligence context and resolution criteria.

CPI · PPI · PCE

Inflation Markets

Trade forecasts on consumer price index releases, inflation trajectories and central bank targets across major economies.

Viewing examples
FED · ECB · BOE · BOJ

Interest Rate Markets

Forecast central bank rate decisions, policy pivots and the trajectory of global monetary tightening or easing cycles.

View examples
GDP · Unemployment · PMI

Macro Data Markets

Price discrete outcomes on macroeconomic data releases including GDP prints, labor market reports and business activity surveys.

View examples
Conflict · Diplomacy · Sanctions

Geopolitical Risk Markets

Aggregate institutional views on political risk, diplomatic outcomes, conflict escalation and cross-border policy developments.

View examples
Earnings · Revenue · Guidance

Corporate Forecast Markets

Trade on corporate event outcomes — earnings beats, revenue guidance, analyst estimate comparisons and major business milestones.

View examples
Oil · Gas · Gold · Metals

Energy & Commodities

Price commodities outcome markets including crude oil benchmarks, natural gas, precious metals and agricultural commodity thresholds.

View examples
Regulation · Legislation · Elections

Policy & Election Markets

Forecast regulatory outcomes, legislative milestones, election results and major policy shifts affecting financial markets.

View examples

Inflation Markets

CPI · PPI · PCE

2 example markets

Trade forecasts on consumer price index releases, inflation trajectories and central bank targets across major economies.

Process

How Institutional Markets Work

01

Choose a Market Category

Select from inflation, interest rates, macro data, geopolitical risk, corporate forecasts, energy or policy markets.

02

Review Market Context

Each market includes key data context, the official source, expected release date and explicit resolution criteria.

03

Trade with USDC on Arc

Participate using native USDC on Arc Network with fast, transparent on-chain settlement and no gas token friction.

04

Resolve on Verified Sources

Markets resolve according to official data releases or clearly defined, publicly verifiable outcomes.

Infrastructure

Built for Higher-Trust Forecast Markets

CirBet is designed to support transparent, source-verified and professionally structured prediction markets for real-world outcomes.

USDC Settlement on Arc

All markets settle in native USDC on Arc Network. No volatile gas tokens required.

Transparent Resolution

Every market has clearly defined resolution criteria published before it goes live.

On-Chain History

All market activity, bets and resolutions are permanently recorded on Arc.

Official Data Sources

Institutional markets resolve based on publicly verifiable, official data sources.

Arc-Native Infrastructure

Sub-second finality and fiat-denominated fees remove settlement uncertainty.

Multi-Currency Ready

Future support for EURC and other stablecoins for non-USD denominated markets.

Market Intelligence

Context Behind Every Market

Unlike simple prediction markets, CirBet institutional markets include a structured Market Intelligence block for every forecast. Each market shows the relevant previous data, expected release date, official source, related market factors and exact resolution criteria — before you trade.

Previous Data

Last known data point from the official source

Next Release Date

When the next data publication is expected

Official Source

The authoritative body publishing the outcome data

Related Factors

Key variables that may influence the market outcome

Resolution Criteria

Exact conditions under which the market resolves YES or NO

AI Summary

Automated context digest — coming soon

Market intelligence data is currently placeholder. Live data integration via official APIs is on the product roadmap.

Disclaimer: CirBet is a prediction market interface for informational and experimental purposes. Market availability may depend on jurisdiction, regulation and platform policy. Users are responsible for understanding applicable laws in their region. Each market includes clearly defined resolution criteria and trusted data sources before becoming active. This platform does not constitute financial advice. Past market outcomes do not guarantee future results.